Summary
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Peace process or theater: “A document given to Pakistan by the Trump administration has been presented to the Iranians… A response is now awaited.”
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3,000 elite Army Airborne soldiers & Marines still en route after Trump said Monday says Iran has been destroyed “militarily”.
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Iran is tightening control of Hormuz, demanding detailed ship data and in some cases fees for passage
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Iran continues to say it is ready for long war, monitors US troop movements: Parliament Speaker says “Do not test our resolve to defend our land.”
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Backchannel “Talks” Or Theater?
Confusion reigns over diplomacy as Pakistan reportedly relays Washington’s ceasefire terms to Iran, with a response still pending. “A document given to Pakistan by the Trump administration has been presented to the Iranians… A response is now awaited,” according to Al Jazeera. An alleged early draft can be viewed here.
Yet Tehran denies any negotiations outright, with Iran’s ambassador insists no direct or indirect talks are happening, even as “friendly countries” conduct consultations. Iran’s military also brushed off claims by President Trump, vowing to press on with the fight, and asserting that Washington is merely negotiating with itself, trying to will something into existence which isn’t yet reality.
Bloomberg has summarized where things stand: “Iran kept up missile and drone attacks on Israel and Arab Gulf states, even after the US floated a plan to end a war that’s wreaked havoc across the Middle East and in global markets.” The below are also key points:
- Iranian officials have told the countries trying to mediate peace talks with the U.S. that they have now been tricked twice by President Trump and “we don’t want to be fooled again,” according to a source with direct knowledge of those discussions. They worry Trump is buying time as he brings more military equipment to the Middle East.
- Iran has received an American 15-point plan for a ceasefire for the Iran war through intermediaries from Pakistan, officials in Islamabad said Wednesday. The proposal was sent even as Washington began to move paratroopers to the Middle East to back up a contingent of Marines already heading to the region.
Iran military spokesman: “Have your internal conflicts reached the point where you’re negotiating with yourselves?“
🔺NEW: Spokesman for Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters addresses the U.S.:
🔹“Have your internal conflicts reached the point where you’re negotiating with yourselves?”
🔹“Don’t call your defeat an ‘agreement’. You will see neither your investments in the region nor previous… pic.twitter.com/PHackJjyjf
— Drop Site (@DropSiteNews) March 25, 2026
Trump’s “Very Big Present” & Hormuz Leverage
Trump, meanwhile, claims Iran offered a “present…worth a tremendous amount of money,” tied to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz – but provided no details. At the same time, the US is ramping troop deployments even as it touts negotiations to end the conflict. He also claimed “we are… talking to the right people” in Iran, adding to the confusion and ambiguity.
On the ground, Iran is tightening control of Hormuz, demanding detailed ship data and in some cases fees for passage – especially for oil and gas tankers. Traffic has thinned, with non-compliant vessels turned away, raising pressure on Asian economies like India and drawing pushback from China.
Hundreds of vessels still remain paralyzed, after Iran adopted an “eye for an eye” policy to re-establish deterrence and impose sever costs on both America’s Gulf partners and the global economy. Here’s the latest on Iran’s statements and policy regarding passage:
Iran has said that “non-hostile” ships may transit the Strait of Hormuz amid a collapse of maritime traffic through the waterway that has prompted the biggest global energy crisis in decades.
In a statement on Tuesday, Iran’s mission to the United Nations said vessels may avail of “safe passage” through the waterway, “provided that they neither participate in nor support acts of aggression against Iran and fully comply with the declared safety and security regulations.”
Tit-for-Tat Hits On Key Infrastructure
US-Israeli strikes on Iran continue, while Iranian missiles trigger alarms across Israel. Gulf states are increasingly drawn in: Saudi Arabia and Bahrain intercepted incoming threats, while Kuwait reported a fire at its main airport after a fuel tank was hit, according to Bloomberg.
Israel says it has crossed the 15,000-munitions mark in strikes on Iran since late February – highlighting the scale of the conflict, now far exceeding prior rounds of fighting. On Tuesday, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said the air force has carried out multiple new waves of airstrikes over Tehran, targeting what it described as Iranian regime infrastructure.
This has apparently included Iran’s only submarine development facility, as part of a broader wave of attacks on weapons production sites around Isfahan. According to the IDF, the targeted underwater R&D center is the “only site in Iran responsible for the planning and development of submarines and auxiliary systems for the Iranian navy.” It added: “The regime produced various models of unmanned vessels at the site.”
Reports say Iran again targeted Israel’s largest power plant in Hadera (Orot Rabin):
BREAKING: Reports claim Iran again targeted Israel’s largest power plant in Hadera (Orot Rabin), but the missile landed several kilometers away. pic.twitter.com/bLmnQ5HFWy
— The Breaking Minutes (@BreakingMinutes) March 25, 2026
Israel is also escalating in Lebanon, bombing Beirut and pushing deeper into the south as it signals plans for a longer-term occupation zone.
Tehran ‘Closely Monitoring’ US Troop Deployments
Iranian officials are issuing stark warnings. Parliament speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf declared: “We are closely monitoring all US movements in the region, especially troop deployments. Do not test our resolve to defend our land.” He added, “What the generals have broke, the soldiers can’t fix; instead, they will fall victim to Netanyahu’s delusions.”
As for the US troops, it’s anything but clear at this point what comes next after they arrive in the region. There’s talk that Trump could order a Kharg Island takeover, which itself would be ultra high-risk.
Meanwhile WSJ reviews of the above mentioned Ghalibaf: “Iran’s combative Parliament speaker, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, is emerging as an unlikely figure in Washington’s search for a deal to halt a widening Middle East war.”
We went from “no more wars” to Fox News showing where US troops are going to invade Iran. pic.twitter.com/MxftEv5954
— Nathan Hughes (@rallynate) March 24, 2026
“Ghalibaf, a former Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps air-force commander and Tehran mayor, has denied any talks with the U.S. are under way,” the report continues. “He has taunted President Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and called the U.S.-Israeli air war with Iran a quagmire. He served in the Revolutionary Guard during Iran’s brutal war with Iraq in the 1980s and is known as a hard-liner’s hard-liner.”
But, the report notes, “At the same time, he is credited with helping to modernize Tehran while he was mayor, becoming famous for riding his motorcycle around town and expanding major highways and the metro system in a traffic-clogged city. In 2008, he traveled to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, portraying himself as a leader with a more business-friendly attitude than other parts of the regime.” Some analysts have said that Washington could work with him.
