September 30, 2025
Writes, Brian Dunaway:
Within the last month, NATO military has claimed Russia has violated NATO airspace (specifically Baltic, Scandinavian, Balkan). (For hilarious characterization of these events by AP, read here.) Russia denies these violations.
Regardless of how these encounters are characterized, it is clear that Russia is sending a message. When these “violations” were first reported, in light of current events, it felt like something didn’t add up. The most reasonable hypothesis seemed to be that Russia has intelligence that NATO plans to invade Russia. (Of course, who needs intelligence? NATO’s belligerence from practically the day the Berlin Wall fell is hardly a secret.) Then, Trump, et al., blustered that these jets should be shot down.
Now, news of US considering direct participation in a Russia invasion makes that hypothesis seem a little more solid.