It is impossible to know the degree to which this is typical conflict propaganda, but Pakistan is claiming that India is planning a military strike on its territory, and that this is coming within less than one to two days.
“Pakistan has credible intelligence that India intends to launch a military strike within the next 24 to 36 hours, using the Pahalgam incident as a false pretext,” Pakistan’s Information Minister Attaullah Tarar wrote on X Tuesday evening.
“Any act of aggression will be met with a decisive response. India will be fully responsible for any serious consequences in the region,” Tarar added.
India has charged that Pakistan harbored the terrorists responsible for the attack on Indian-administered Kashmir which came one week ago and left 26 dead. They were mostly tourists from India visiting the popular and picturesque spot, and the gunmen chose them for execution on the spot because they were Hindu.
Gunfire has already been exchanged between the nuclear-armed rivals over the last several days, with neither side reporting any casualties or major incidents.
The last time there was a major terror attack targeting Indians in Kashmir, the Indian Air Force did respond:
The worst attack in recent years in Indian-run Kashmir was at Pulwama in 2019, when an insurgent rammed a car packed with explosives into a security forces convoy, killing 40 and wounding 35.
Indian fighter jets carried out air strikes on Pakistani territory 12 days later.
Pakistan has meanwhile welcomed China and Russia’s efforts to mediate de-escalation, also as the United Nations has urged restraint.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said he is holding dialogue with officials from both sides. “We are reaching out to both parties, and telling, of course, them to not escalate the situation,” a statement from the State Dept said.
The only significant military action so far is that Pakistan’s military said Tuesday it shot down an Indian spy drone over Kashmir, alleging that the UAV breached Pakistani-administered territory.
Pakistan has credible intelligence that within the next 24 to 36 hours, India is planning military action against Pakistan based on baseless and fabricated accusations related to the Pahalgam incident. – Information Minister Attaullah Tarar#IndiaPakistan #PakistanBehindPahalgam pic.twitter.com/8juDCkUFCJ
— Noor Fatima (@Fatima_Zahra120) April 30, 2025
The drone reportedly breached the Line of Control (LOC), Pakistani state-run media said, and it was subsequently shot down amid the air space incursion. Pakistani defense officials described to The Associated Press that the drone flew hundreds of feet into Pakistani-administered Kashmir.
And alarmingly, a Pakistani minister, Hanif Abbasi (though he’s not in defense or security) days ago warned that Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal of more than 130 missiles was “not kept as models” and was aimed “only for India … these ballistic missiles, all of them are targeted at you” – as cited in The Guardian.
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