Students are less prepared than ever for college, but grade inflation continues
A stunning new report from the University of California, San Diego, reveals that incoming college students are less prepared academically than ever. The steep decline in readiness among its first-year students is particularly noticeable in mathematics.
The UCSD paper shows that from 2020 to 2025, the number of students with math skills below high school level increased nearly 30-fold. Additionally, 70 percent of these students are below the middle school level.
The decline is attributed to the COVID-19 school shutdowns, the elimination of standardized testing, and grade inflation, all of which have resulted in an incoming class that is not prepared for the rigor expected at UCSD.
UCSD students who required remedial math had average high school GPAs that rose from 3.47 in 2019 to 3.65 in 2024. Public schools are passing students without equipping them with basic skills and inflating their sense of competence.
UCSD’s issues are not unique. Over the past five years, all other University of California campuses, including UC Berkeley and UCLA, have seen the number of first-year students who are unprepared for precalculus double or triple.
Regarding grade inflation, the situation is no better in other parts of the country. A recent internal Harvard report disclosed that more than 60 percent of grades given to undergraduates in the 2024-25 academic year were “A”—up from about 25 percent 20 years ago. The median GPA at graduation, which was 3.29 in 1985, has now increased to 3.83.
Yale’s data are even worse: 80 percent of grades awarded in 2023 were “A” or “A-.”
Many students are opting out of college, which had an enrollment of 19.3 million undergraduate students in fall 2024, a decline of 8.4 percent from the peak of 21 million in 2010. Besides the decrease in college enrollment over the past 15 years, even fewer students are expected to attend in the next 15 years.
In a desperate attempt to fill seats, the Cal State system will admit students with Cs in college-prep courses—without requiring an application—starting next year, reports EdSource. “Direct admissions” students who accept the offer can select from 16 Cal State campuses, which are trying to boost attendance. Additionally, Cal State won’t consider SAT or ACT scores in admissions. (The most selective schools—San Jose State, San Diego State, Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, Cal Poly Pomona, Cal State Fullerton, and Long Beach State—are not included.)
For those who graduate from college, the job market is weak. Bloomberg reports that the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show a significant decline in white-collar jobs, especially for students with four-year degrees. These degrees now account for 25 percent of all unemployed, about 1.9 million people, the highest level since 1992.
The unemployment rate for bachelor’s degree holders rose to 2.8 percent in September, while joblessness for other education groups stayed relatively steady. Young degree-holders are experiencing the most impact: unemployment for ages 20 to 24 jumped to 9.2 percent; a rise rarely seen outside recessions.
It’s also worth noting that going to college can be quite costly these days.
